February Jobs Report Gives Fed the All-Clear
The U.S. economy added 235,000 jobs in February, the Labor Department reported on Friday, giving the Federal Reserve the all-clear to raise the key interest rate this week.
Though the unemployment rate idled at 4.7 percent, it is lower than the 4.9 percent observed in February 2016. Hourly wages on average increased 6 cents to $26.09, contributing to the total 71 cent increase observed since last February. The construction sector, markedly, added 58,000 jobs. "Today's report of 235,000 jobs created in February removes the final barrier to a March rate increase by the Federal Reserve and could pave the way for two additional hikes later in the year," said Brian Schaitkin, senior economist at The Conference Board, in a statement. "After an unexpected slowdown in January, wage growth picked up in February to 2.8 percent, driven by still tight labor markets and minimum wage increases that went into effect in 19 states at the beginning of the year. Low unemployment rates provide further evidence of a tight labor market and, as a result, inflation expectations may continue to increase. So far, possible delays in the arrival of fiscal stimulus measures have not dented either business or consumer confidence. Barring downside first quarter GDP surprises, the Fed should have ample evidence to pursue a more aggressive normalization policy. "Faster wage growth has not yet led to a hiring slowdown or an uptick in investment growth," Schaitkin said. "This is particularly true in professional services, health care, and leisure and hospitality. If buoyant business confidence leads to increased investment, this picture will change. Businesses will seek to meet consumer demand through faster productivity growth rather than hiring increasingly expensive workers." Mortgage rates are indirectly tied to the key interest rate. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit its highest point in 2017 last week, 4.21 percent. |
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